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Climate change: Open in case of emergency

Climate change: Open in case of emergency


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By Tom Prugh

The financial advisory firm PricewaterhouseCoopers, the largest of the so-called Big Four, published a report in November 2012 concluding that it was too late to keep the future rise in global average temperatures to just 2 degrees. centigrade. "The time has come to prepare for a warmer world," the report stated.

That same month, the World Bank published Turn Down the Heat: Why avoid a 4 ° C rise in global temperature), which stated soberly why the world should be prevented from heating up by 4 degrees. At the same time, stories of countless emerging calamities proliferated in the press: the failure of the Rio + 20 negotiations; Coral reefs zombies; calls for an increase in the birth rate; decrease in Arctic ocean ice; an increasingly imminent "change of state" of the Earth's biosphere; and other evidence of the pressure to which natural systems are subjected and of human blindness, ignorance and denial.

Is it time to buy a Ecopod ?

Trouble is coming, of course, but there are better answers than picking up an arsenal of weapons and cans of food. In view of humanity's lack of foresight and political will to address the many sustainability issues that await us, we asked leading thinkers to reflect on what we could do to make the best of this situation.

One of the key ideas in your responses is the need to "build resilience." This requires, according to Laurie Mazur, diversity, redundancy, modularity, social capital, decision-making capacity and action, inclusiveness, precise feedback loops and capacity for innovation. To begin to strengthen our resilience, Erik Assadourian encourages the creation of a lasting environmental movement capable of involving people and grounding their ethics and conduct in reality.

ecological. Michael Maniates echoes this basic theme in his call for environmental education to stop confusing and inadequately preparing students for the challenges of the future, leading them to think that the coming crises will galvanize people to action rather than generate anger, fear and conflict.

Paula Green underscores the value of community roots and strong social capital, including intergroup networks that build bridges between different communities. Bron Taylor prudently defends the need for an ecological resistance movement, stating that "The urgency of the situation justifies considering tactics outside of the law, as was done in previous cases where great moral urgency was rightly perceived."


If crises already threaten conflict, the rising tide of environmental refugees will exacerbate this risk. Michael Renner describes that tens or even hundreds of millions of people are likely to be displaced by 2050, despite which funds invested in adaptation measures in developing countries are already inadequate, a gap that needs to be addressed. If not, these types of migrations will add to other pressures and will promote the deployment of geoengineering techniques - such as gigantic space mirrors and cement capable of capturing carbon - in an attempt to solve climate alterations with patch technology solutions. Simon Nicholson reviews these types of strategies, urging further research but pointing out that their technical uncertainties and unpredictable effects is the least of their problems, since many of them also involve serious geopolitical risks.

Governance will be a crucial component of our responses to the 'long emergency' ahead, as David Orr calls it (following James Howard Kunstler). Brian Martin argues that governance should be flexible and not rigid, which requires participation, high levels of training, vigorous debate and mutual respect. If this sounds like deepening democracy, Orr agrees and calls for a "second democratic revolution" in which "we master the art and science of governance for a new era."

If circumstances are outmatched our best efforts, Pat Murphy and Faith Morgan's description of recent Cuban history may be a comfort to us. Pushed to the limit by the collapse of the Soviet Union, Cuba suffered a period of harsh adjustments but has rescued a culture with a small ecological footprint and extraordinarily high levels of non-material well-being.

It's too late? Science fiction writer Kim Stanley Robinson says in his final essay that the real question is how much can we save? “We can perceive our present danger and also see our future potential… It is not just a dream, but a responsibility, a project. And the things we can do now to start this project are all around us, waiting to be undertaken and lived.

Fuhem


Video: Soils cultivation on afforestation sites webinar with Dr Jens Haufe, Forest Research (July 2022).


Comments:

  1. Tobrytan

    There is something in this. Now everything became clear to me, Thank you very much for the information.

  2. Tagul

    Offtopic. How did you promote your blog?

  3. Harvey

    There are other disadvantages too



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